Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
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