Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for KRC Genk II had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest KRC Genk II win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.04) 
