SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
56.36% ( 0.98) | 21.44% ( 0.08) | 22.2% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( -1.65) | 37.88% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.86% ( -1.79) | 60.14% ( 1.79) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( -0.25) | 13.36% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.75% ( -0.51) | 40.25% ( 0.51) |
| Swift Hesperange Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( -1.81) | 30.35% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( -2.21) | 66.54% ( 2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.49)1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.91% Total : 22.2% |
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