Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
-0.03) 
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