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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
3 - 2
South Shields

Wreh (6'), Tshikuna (20'), Knight-Percival (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Heaney (31'), Woods (57')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and South Shields.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 7-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a South Shields win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawSouth Shields
51.27% (-0.073 -0.07) 25.06% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.66% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)52.08% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (-0.012 -0.01)73.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)20.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31% (-0.058 -0.06)52.69% (0.061 0.06)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.91% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.044 0.04)73.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 51.27%
    South Shields 23.66%
    Draw 25.06%
TamworthDrawSouth Shields
1-0 @ 11.95%
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 23.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Warrington Town
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-0 Tamworth
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 3-0 Bishop's Stortford
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-1 Tamworth
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 0-0 Chester
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 7-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-0 South Shields
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 2-0 Spennymoor
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-3 South Shields
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 South Shields
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-2 South Shields
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North


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