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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Wrexham |
53.34% ( 8.32) | 21.51% ( -1.38) | 25.15% ( -6.94) |
| Both teams to score 63.91% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.16% ( 1.82) | 34.84% ( -1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.18% ( 2.01) | 56.81% ( -2.01) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% ( 3.52) | 13.26% ( -3.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.95% ( 6.68) | 40.05% ( -6.67) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -3.53) | 26.32% ( 3.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -4.96) | 61.45% ( 4.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 1.03)1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 1.04)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 1.17)3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.84)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.81)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.39)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.45)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.4)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.68) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.32)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -1.18) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.99)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -1.07)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.46)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.88)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.68)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.43)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.15% |
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