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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
36.99% ( -0.34) | 24.16% ( 0.01) | 38.85% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.84% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.08) | 41.67% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.08) | 64.08% ( 0.08) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.21) | 22.47% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( -0.32) | 56.01% ( 0.31) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.12) | 21.53% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( 0.19) | 54.59% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.99% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.85% |
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