SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
59.87% ( -0.01) | 21.11% ( 0.01) | 19.03% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.22% ( -0.01) | 40.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.83% ( -0.01) | 63.17% ( 0.01) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% ( -0.01) | 13.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.96% ( -0.02) | 40.04% ( 0.02) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% | 35.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( -0) | 71.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.87% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 19.03% |
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