SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | St Louis City |
64.84% ( 0.06) | 19.7% ( -0.01) | 15.46% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.27% ( -0.07) | 40.73% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.89% ( -0.07) | 63.11% ( 0.07) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -0) | 11.82% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.94% ( -0) | 37.06% ( 0.01) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.11) | 39.19% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( -0.11) | 75.9% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.84% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.46% |
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