Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.1) 
