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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
27.26% ( -0.04) | 24.16% ( -0.03) | 48.58% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% ( 0.12) | 45.43% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( 0.11) | 67.77% ( -0.11) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( 0.03) | 30.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( 0.04) | 66.54% ( -0.04) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( 0.07) | 18.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.78% ( 0.12) | 50.21% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.26% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 48.58% |
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