SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Raed |
59.36% ( -0.48) | 20.62% ( 0.22) | 20.02% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.66) | 36.95% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( -0.71) | 59.13% ( 0.71) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.81% ( -0.34) | 12.19% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.15% ( -0.71) | 37.84% ( 0.71) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( -0.14) | 31.8% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( -0.16) | 68.23% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Raed |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 20.02% |
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