SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Martinique | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Martinique | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Martinique |
63.8% ( -1.39) | 21.33% ( 0.72) | 14.87% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( -1.64) | 48.96% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% ( -1.51) | 71.05% ( 1.5) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( -0.95) | 14.68% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.15% ( -1.86) | 42.84% ( 1.85) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.04) | 45.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.03% ( -0.03) | 80.96% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Martinique |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.3% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.87% |
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