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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
PN

Martinique
1 - 2
Panama

Fabien (90+3')
Reuperne (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fajardo (57'), Murillo (69')
Godoy (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Panama
Tuesday, June 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Martinique 0-2 Panama

There were many surprises in the opening matchday of this competition, but we do not believe Martinique have another upset in them on Friday. Panama have most of their regulars available, and they looked compact and sharp along the backline in their opener, and if they are allowed to have 10 shots on target like El Salvador were, we have to think they will finish off some of those opportunities, given the overall quality they have in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Martinique win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
MartiniqueDrawPanama
22.12% (-0.038 -0.04) 24.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 52.95% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)38.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.044 -0.04)75.64% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (0.012 0.01)20.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.2% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Martinique 22.12%
    Panama 52.93%
    Draw 24.93%
MartiniqueDrawPanama
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.12%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5.41% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 0-0 Panama
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 5-0 Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Martinique
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Haiti
Sunday, July 18 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Panama
Tuesday, June 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-2 Canada
Friday, June 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Wednesday, March 29 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Panama
Thursday, March 23 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies


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