SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Cuba | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Guatemala |
44.45% ( 0.52) | 28.16% ( -0.11) | 27.38% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 44.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.17% ( 0.17) | 60.82% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% ( 0.13) | 80.86% ( -0.13) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( 0.35) | 27.27% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( 0.46) | 62.7% ( -0.46) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.51% ( -0.25) | 38.48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.76% ( -0.24) | 75.23% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.38% |
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