SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Martinique |
57.46% ( 0.02) | 24.47% ( 0.01) | 18.07% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% ( -0.05) | 55.9% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( -0.04) | 77.01% ( 0.04) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.01) | 19.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( -0.02) | 51.13% ( 0.02) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0.06) | 44.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.07% ( -0.05) | 80.92% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panama | Draw | Martinique |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 18.07% |
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