Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 77.55%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.12%) and 3-0 (12.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
0.51) 
-0.17) 
