Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.