SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Olympiacos |
27.98% ( 0.07) | 25.68% ( -0.13) | 46.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( 0.56) | 51.4% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( 0.48) | 73.21% ( -0.48) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.35) | 32.92% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0.38) | 69.5% ( -0.38) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 0.27) | 22.16% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( 0.4) | 55.56% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.98% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.34% |
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