SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | AEK Athens |
25.14% ( 0.75) | 28.55% ( 0.23) | 46.31% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.78% ( -0.27) | 63.22% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.37% ( -0.2) | 82.63% ( 0.2) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( 0.55) | 41.82% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.72% ( 0.47) | 78.28% ( -0.47) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.63) | 27.45% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% ( -0.82) | 62.93% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.13% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 14.84% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.7% Total : 46.31% |
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