SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 76.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 7.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Ionikos |
76.35% ( -0.04) | 15.67% ( 0.04) | 7.98% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.02% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( -0.16) | 42.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.16) | 64.95% ( 0.16) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.62% ( -0.05) | 9.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.42% ( -0.12) | 31.57% ( 0.12) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.37% ( -0.09) | 53.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.96% ( -0.06) | 87.04% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Ionikos |
| 2-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 76.34% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 15.67% | 0-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 7.98% |
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