Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 76.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 7.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
