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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
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AEK Athens
2 - 2
Panathinaikos

Garcia (24', 90+6' pen.)
Gacinovic (30'), Callens (52'), Szymanski (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jedvaj (31'), Arao (66')
Mancini (17'), Ioannidis (85')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Panathinaikos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-2 AEK Athens
Sunday, January 7 at 7pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
AEK AthensDrawPanathinaikos
46.4% (-2.432 -2.43) 26.45% (1.033 1.03) 27.14% (1.399 1.4)
Both teams to score 49.3% (-1.947 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (-3.087 -3.09)54.9% (3.089 3.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (-2.613 -2.61)76.19% (2.615 2.62)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-2.396 -2.4)23.63% (2.397 2.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-3.586 -3.59)57.72% (3.587 3.59)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (-0.509 -0.51)35.45% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.532 -0.53)72.21% (0.533 0.53)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 46.4%
    Panathinaikos 27.14%
    Draw 26.45%
AEK AthensDrawPanathinaikos
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.306 -0.31)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.4%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.958 0.96)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.886 0.89)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.403 0.4)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-2 AEK Athens
Sunday, January 7 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Volos
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panserraikos 2-2 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 21 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panetolikos 2-2 AEK Athens
Monday, December 18 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-0 Aris
Monday, December 4 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 Panetolikos
Sunday, January 7 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 PAS Giannina
Wednesday, January 3 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Volos 0-3 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Atromitos 3-2 Panathinaikos
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-2 M. Haifa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 4-0 OFI Crete
Sunday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague


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