Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
36.63% ( -0.12) | 26.92% ( 0.05) | 36.45% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.95% ( -0.17) | 54.05% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% ( -0.15) | 75.48% ( 0.15) |
Panathinaikos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.15) | 28.41% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -0.2) | 64.16% ( 0.2) |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( -0.03) | 28.52% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( -0.04) | 64.3% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.44% |
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