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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5
Sep 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
AA

Panathinaikos
1 - 2
AEK Athens

Duricic (10')
Bernard (33'), Carlos (44'), Palacios (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zuber (36'), Pineda (68')
Mitoglou (21'), Gacinovic (25'), Galanopoulos (54'), Araujo (89')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
PanathinaikosDrawAEK Athens
36.63% (-0.122 -0.12) 26.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 36.45% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.18% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95% (-0.175 -0.17)54.05% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (-0.145 -0.15)75.48% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)28.41% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.198 -0.2)64.16% (0.202 0.2)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)28.52% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)64.3% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Panathinaikos 36.63%
    AEK Athens 36.44%
    Draw 26.92%
PanathinaikosDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Villarreal
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-5 Panathinaikos
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-1 Panathinaikos
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 3-0 Volos
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brighton 2-3 AEK Athens
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Volos 2-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-2 Antwerp
Wednesday, August 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Panserraikos
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Antwerp 1-0 AEK Athens
Tuesday, August 22 at 8pm in Champions League


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