Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
49.09% ( -0.33) | 23.56% ( 0.1) | 27.35% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.34% ( -0.28) | 42.66% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.94% ( -0.28) | 65.06% ( 0.28) |
PAOK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.23) | 17.53% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.95% ( -0.4) | 48.05% ( 0.4) |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( 0.02) | 28.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( 0.03) | 64.69% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.35% |
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