Aris
1 - 4
AEK Athens

Gama (29')
Matilla (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Oliveira (24', 52'), Simoes (62'), Szymanski (85')
Paulinho (7'), Lopes (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and AEK Athens.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	AEK Athens
27.27%	27.18%	45.55%

Both teams to score 47.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.48%

57.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.69%

78.31%

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24%

36.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.45%

73.55%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81%

25.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.07%

59.93%

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 27.27%

AEK Athens 45.55%

Draw 27.18%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	AEK Athens
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.27%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 12.77% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.55%