SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
49.6% ( -0.89) | 25.86% ( 0.35) | 24.53% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( -0.88) | 54.43% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( -0.74) | 75.8% ( 0.75) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.75) | 21.98% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% ( -1.15) | 55.27% ( 1.15) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( 0) | 37.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% ( 0) | 74.2% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.08% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.54% |
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