SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
65.65% ( -0.04) | 21.62% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.81% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( -0.06) | 54.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( -0.05) | 75.62% ( 0.05) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.03) | 15.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55% ( -0.06) | 45% ( 0.06) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.48% ( -0.01) | 51.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.31% ( -0.01) | 85.69% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.85% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 65.64% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 12.73% |
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