SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 44%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
44% ( 0.11) | 27.45% ( -0.16) | 28.55% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( 0.6) | 57.84% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( 0.47) | 78.56% ( -0.47) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.34) | 26.12% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( 0.45) | 61.18% ( -0.45) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( 0.37) | 35.9% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( 0.37) | 72.68% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.55% |
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