SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ionikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
21.9% ( -0.97) | 26.07% ( -0.37) | 52.04% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% ( 0.45) | 57.39% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% ( 0.35) | 78.2% ( -0.35) |
| Ionikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.71) | 41.61% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.9% ( -0.63) | 78.1% ( 0.64) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.78) | 22.15% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( 1.15) | 55.54% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ionikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.9% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 13.89% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.3)1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.03% |
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