Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
