Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.