Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
