Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panserraikos win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panserraikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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