Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 43.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for PAOK in this match.