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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5
Apr 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
P

Aris
0 - 1
PAOK


Garcia (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schwab (6')
Swiderski (40'), Rahman (59'), Douglas (67'), Warda (84')
Warda (86')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Aris Thessaloniki and PAOK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 43.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 27.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
Aris ThessalonikiDrawPAOK
27.96%28.8%43.23%
Both teams to score 43.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.34%62.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.78%82.22%
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97%39.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25%75.75%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2%28.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35%64.65%
Score Analysis
    Aris Thessaloniki 27.96%
    PAOK 43.23%
    Draw 28.8%
Aris ThessalonikiDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 6.19%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 27.96%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 13.99%
0-2 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-3 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.12%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 43.23%

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