Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
