SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for OFI Crete in this match.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
53.9% ( 0.08) | 26.05% ( -0.02) | 20.05% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.89% ( 0.01) | 59.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( 0.01) | 79.55% ( -0.01) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.04) | 22.07% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( 0.05) | 55.42% ( -0.05) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.41% ( -0.06) | 44.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.4% ( -0.05) | 80.6% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.05% |
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