Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for OFI Crete in this match.
