SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that OFI Crete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
41.31% ( -1.6) | 27.02% ( 0.25) | 31.66% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% ( -0.5) | 55.14% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( -0.41) | 76.39% ( 0.41) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( -1.06) | 26.29% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% ( -1.44) | 61.41% ( 1.44) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( 0.71) | 32.16% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( 0.79) | 68.65% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.66% |
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