Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.97%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.01%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.