Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atromitos win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atromitos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atromitos in this match.