Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
