Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that OFI Crete would win this match.
