Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.96%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
