It is fair to say that neither club is the force they were during the 1990s, or at other successful stages during their illustrious history, but this still represents a heavyweight clash in Europa League qualifying. A close-fought first leg should see the spoils shared in Athens, leaving Ajax slight favourites to prevail after next week's return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%).

Result
	Draw
42.22%	23.31%	34.47%

Both teams to score 63.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09%

37.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83%

60.16%

Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6%

18.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.45%

49.55%

Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93%

22.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59%

55.41%

Score Analysis

42.22%

34.47%

Draw 23.31%

	Draw
2-1 @ 8.79% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.22%	1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 7.85% 0-1 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.46% Total : 34.47%