Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Lamia win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.