Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 1-0 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
Result | ||
Apollon Smirnis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
25.63% | 28.83% | 45.54% |
Both teams to score 41.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.2% | 63.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.96% | 83.04% |
Apollon Smirnis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.3% | 41.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% | 78.17% |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% | 28.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% | 63.8% |
Score Analysis |
Apollon Smirnis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 5.69% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.63% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 14.87% 0-2 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-3 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.27% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.59% Total : 45.53% |
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