Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 1-0 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.