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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Georgios Kamaras
A

Apollon Smirnis
0 - 1
Aris


Andoni (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ioannou (18')
Ioannou (45')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Apollon Smirnis and Aris Thessaloniki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 1-0 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

Result
Apollon SmirnisDrawAris Thessaloniki
25.63%28.83%45.54%
Both teams to score 41.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.2%63.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.96%83.04%
Apollon Smirnis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.3%41.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82%78.17%
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2%63.8%
Score Analysis
    Apollon Smirnis 25.63%
    Aris Thessaloniki 45.53%
    Draw 28.82%
Apollon SmirnisDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 5.69%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.31%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 25.63%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 14.87%
0-2 @ 9.44%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-3 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.27%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 45.53%

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