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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Georgios Kamaras

Apollon Smirnis
0 - 1
Asteras


Lisgaras (12'), Andoni (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barrales (20')
Sito (10'), Alvarez (17'), Munafo (43'), Barrales (60')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Apollon Smirnis and Asteras Tripolis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Apollon Smirnis win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.

Result
Apollon SmirnisDrawAsteras Tripolis
34.72%27.9%37.38%
Both teams to score 48.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.09%57.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38%78.62%
Apollon Smirnis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49%31.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1%67.9%
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16%29.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07%65.93%
Score Analysis
    Apollon Smirnis 34.72%
    Asteras Tripolis 37.38%
    Draw 27.9%
Apollon SmirnisDrawAsteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.37%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 37.38%

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