Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Apollon Smirnis win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.