Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win was 1-0 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Apollon Smirnis in this match.