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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alkazar

Larissa
0 - 1
Apollon Smirnis


Sparv (14'), Cosic (60'), Durmishaj (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tsiloulis (73')
Lagos (53'), Segovia (60'), Lisgaras (71')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEL Larissa and Apollon Smirnis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win was 1-0 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Apollon Smirnis in this match.

Result
AEL LarissaDrawApollon Smirnis
32.87%29.52%37.61%
Both teams to score 43.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.31%63.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.03%82.97%
AEL Larissa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19%35.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41%72.58%
Apollon Smirnis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.16%
Score Analysis
    AEL Larissa 32.86%
    Apollon Smirnis 37.6%
    Draw 29.51%
AEL LarissaDrawApollon Smirnis
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 32.86%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.51%
0-1 @ 13.08%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.6%

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