SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levadiakos win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levadiakos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levadiakos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Levadiakos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
35.8% ( -0.03) | 29.41% ( 0.16) | 34.79% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.79% ( -0.52) | 63.21% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.38% ( -0.38) | 82.62% ( 0.38) |
| Levadiakos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.3) | 33.54% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( -0.32) | 70.18% ( 0.32) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0.36) | 34.21% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( -0.39) | 70.91% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Levadiakos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 34.78% |
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