SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Qarabag FK |
65.68% ( 0.01) | 21.11% ( -0.03) | 13.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.4% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.14) | 51.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( 0.13) | 73.19% ( -0.13) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( 0.05) | 14.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.79% ( 0.09) | 43.21% ( -0.1) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.98% ( 0.12) | 49.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.03% ( 0.08) | 83.97% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 65.67% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 13.2% |
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