Olympiacos might be the team with more European experience on paper, but when it comes to the most recent results it is the visitors that have shown more confidence and quality.
Qarabag have great attacking skills which have been showcased across recent performances, and that should lead to them causing plenty of problems throughout this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
